⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Thursday, April 23
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Today for Thursday (April 23)
Sounds the alarm, we swept the board last night - let's do it one more time on this fine Thursday, shall we? We're targeting the Dodgers vs. Giants and Yankees vs. Red Sox to get us six simple outs. Let's throw up a few zeroes tonight and stay hot.
ā¾ Best NRFI bets today: April 23
See all of our expertsā MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| ā¾ NRFI pick | šµ Units | š Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Dodgers vs. Giants NRFI (-155) | 2u ā 1.29u | Glasnow-Webb matchup best on the Thursday card |
| Yankees vs. Red Sox NRFI (-120) | 1u -> .83u | Red Sox own .184 xBA vs. Schlittler |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.12 units
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š° Best NRFI bets today for Thursday
Dodgers vs. Giants NRFI (-155) - 3:45 p.m. ET
- Tyler Glasnow (3.24 ERA) vs. Logan Webb (5.10 ERA)
- NRFI records: Dodgers (12-12) vs. Giants (15-9)
The best pitching matchup on the slate tonight deserves a full two-unit wager. While Webb hasn't had the best start to his season, his dominant history suggests he can turn a corner at any given moment. It helps that Kyle Tucker owns a .221 xBA against the righty, which will play. Glasnow gets the ball for the Dodgers; with the Giants owning just a .284 xwOBA across 121 plate appearances against him, we should be covered for six outs here.
🤑 More MLB props
Dive into Sean Tomlinson's home run predictions for Thursday if you're looking to cash in on some long balls today.
Yankees vs. Red Sox NRFI (-120) - 6:10 p.m. ET
- Cam Schlittler (1.95 ERA) vs. Payton Tolle (0.00 ERA)
- NRFI records: Yankees (10-14) vs. Red Sox (12-12)
We're targeting the young guns here. Although Schlittler only has 20 plate appearances against the Red Sox in his young career, he's striking them out at a 40% clip. The top of the lineup in Ceddanne Rafaela, Wilyer Abreu, and Trevor Story are a combined 1-for-10 against him, too. Three simple outs. Tolle is why we're sitting with -120 betting odds instead of -140 - he's our wild card. He'll be making his 2026 debut tonight. I'll put my money on Boston's No. 1 prospect.
šµ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | -5.55 units |
| NRFI picks | 13-16 | -3.55 units |
š” How I'm betting NRFI picks today (April 23)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? What's each team's NRFI record? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
ā NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.,
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