🏒 Stars vs. Wild Prediction Tonight: Game 3 NHL Odds & Picks (April 22)
The Dallas Stars and Minnesota Wild meet tonight in Game 3 as their series shifts to Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, Minn. My Stars vs. Wild prediction tonight calls for Under 6 goals and a Dallas victory, with puck drop set for 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT).
Minnesota may be a -132 betting favorite, but Dallas was among the league's best road teams in the regular season, and Jake Oettinger was sharp in Game 2. I've gone with Miro Heiskanen for my best player prop - the Stars defenseman has a history of elevating his game against Minnesota.
🏒 Stars vs. Wild picks & odds tonight: April 22
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Stars ML (+110 via BetMGM) | 0.5u → 0.55u | Loved the Stars' Game 2 performance, and they are an excellent road team. |
| Under 6 (-115 via BetMGM) | 1u → 0.86u | Jesper Wallstedt allowed 2 goals or fewer in 7 of his previous 8 starts. |
| Miro Heiskanen Over 0.5 points (-122 via FanDuel) | 0.5u → 0.41u | Heiskanen grabbed an assist in Game 1 and Game 2. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 1.82 units
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🏆 Who will win Stars vs. Wild?
The Stars showed their pedigree in Game 2, and I expect them to play even better in Minnesota. They were tied for the second-best road points percentage in the regular season (.683), losing only 9 of 41 games in regulation.
I'm backing the Stars to win a close one 3-2, possibly requiring overtime to get across the line.
Score prediction: Stars 3, Wild 2 (+3000)
🥅 More Game 3 NHL playoff predictions
Looking for picks from around the league tonight? Our Dustin Saracini has you covered with his Penguins vs. Flyers prediction.
💰 Stars vs. Wild prediction & best bet
Under 6 goals (-115)
Oettinger found his groove in Game 2, finishing with 1.29 goals saved above expected. The Stars were also excellent defensively on the road during the regular season, allowing the third-fewest goals per game (2.73). Jesper Wallstedt allowed more than two goals in one of his previous eight starts, conceding three in Game 2.
The Wild, meanwhile, boasted a top-10 defense at Grand Casino Arena, and these teams scored three goals in the previous meeting there on March 21, with the Wild winning 2-1 in overtime.
I expect a similar game script for this one, considering how much is at stake.
Of the best sports betting sites, BetMGM offers the best price.
🔥 Best Stars vs. Wild player prop bet
Miro Heiskanen Over 0.5 points (-122)
Heiskanen shows up against the Wild, with at least a point in five of the previous six meetings, including an assist in Games 1 and 2. He's the lynchpin of the league's second-best power play, which succeeded at a 27.8% clip on the road in the regular season.
The Stars looked excellent with the man advantage in Game 2, scoring two goals on five attempts.
The second, admittedly, came on Wyatt Johnston's long-range empty-net goal. Heiskanen's assist, however, came on the first power-play goal, when the Wild actually had a goaltender between the pipes.
💡 Bonus pick: Heiskanen shots prop
Heiskanen fired 9 shots on goal in the opening two games, 4 in the first and 5 in the second. He had 11 attempts in Game 2 and is looking to fire on sight. I like the lower total (2.5) and the plus money odds (+135).
Heiskanen Over 2.5 shots: +135 via bet365
🚀 Stars vs. Wild same-game parlay
A tight-checking playoff game. Go figure. Specifically, though, I liked how controlled Oettinger was in Game 2. Wallstedt has enjoyed a solid run of allowing two goals or fewer, and Dallas is a wagon on the road.
Heiskanen was arguably the Stars' best player in the first two games, so chances are good that he'll step up again.
💵 Stars vs. Wild SGP picks
- Stars ML (+110)
- Under 6 (-115)
- Miro Heiskanen Over 0.5 points (-122)
- Heiskanen Over 2.5 shots (+135)
Best odds: +614 via FanDuel (0.1u -> .61u)
Best odds with bonus pick: +1579 (0.1u -> 1.58u)
💵 My betting record for NHL picks
All NHL picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 1.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 82-93-4 | +19.4 units ✅ | 11.8% ✅ |
| Game picks | 14-10 | +1.98 units ✅ | 9.4% ✅ |
| Player props | 52-67 | +1.05 units ✅ | 0.9% ✅ |
| Parlays | 2-10 | -0.1 units ❌ | -5.6% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Stars vs. Wild
Follow all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
With how both goalies are playing, I'm more confident in the Under than a Stars win, which is why I'm investing a full unit on the total and half a unit on the moneyline play.
As goals will likely be at a premium, I'm not investing a full unit in Heiskanen's points prop.
📊 Live Stars vs. Wild odds: GAME 3
🤑 Stars vs. Wild betting splits tonight
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Bet type 📊 | Bet % 🎟️ | Handle % 💰 |
|---|---|---|
| Stars ML (+110) | 48% | 40% |
| Wild ML (-130) | 52% | 60% |
| Stars +1.5 (-235) | 48% | 50% |
| Wild -1.5 (+190) | 52% | 50% |
| Over 6 (+100) | 45% | 35% |
| Under 6 (-120) | 55% | 65% |
📈 Stars vs. Wild betting trends
| Stars | Statistic | Wild |
|---|---|---|
| 50-20-12 | W-L record | 46-24-12 |
| 32-50-0 | ATS record | 42-40-0 |
| 6-3-1 | O/U record last 10 games | 6-3-1 |
| 4-1-0 | Last 5 games | 2-3-0 |
🚑 Stars vs. Wild injuries
📺 How to watch Stars vs. Wild Game 3
- Date: Wednesday, April 22
- Puck drop: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul, Minn.)
- TV: TNT
- Streaming: HBO Max
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