🏀 Trail Blazers vs. Suns Prediction Tonight: NBA Play-In Expert Picks, Parlay & Odds
The winner earns the seventh seed in the Western Conference playoffs; the loser gets one more chance in an elimination game. The Phoenix Suns play host to the Portland Trail Blazers tonight in NBA Play-In Tournament action, with tipoff from Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (streaming on Prime Video).
Phoenix comes in as a 3.5-point betting favorite, and my Trail Blazers vs. Suns prediction tonight lands on the Suns covering that number. My NBA picks also break down how Devin Booker figures to guide Phoenix back to the playoffs.
π Trail Blazers vs. Suns picks & odds: NBA Play-In Tournament
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds for the playoffs.
| π° Pick | βοΈ Bet size (units) | π§ Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Suns -3.5 (-110 via bet365) | 1.1u β 1u | The Trail Blazers have posted a -4 net rating on the road this year. |
| Devin Booker Over 26.5 points (-105 via bet365) | 1.05u β 1u | Devin Booker typically sees a big bump in minutes during the postseason. |
| Devin Booker Over 29.5 points (+172 via FanDuel) | 0.35u β 0.6u | Booker is averaging 29.6 points per contest across his last 19 outings. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.6 units
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π Who will win Trail Blazers vs. Suns?
Phoenix should complete its unlikely path to a playoff berth tonight, beating Portland by six points in this play-in tournament matchup. The Suns have been the superior side this year and will boast the best player on the floor.
Score prediction: Suns 112, Trail Blazers 106
π° Trail Blazers vs. Suns prediction & best bet
The Suns have the 17th-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Suns -3.5 (-115)
Portland's power rating climbed a bit during the home stretch after it finished the year with a 7-3 clip over the final 10 games. However, that's provided some value, considering six of those wins came against opponents who were trying to lose.
The Suns have been the better team all year and have the benefit of playing at home. Phoenix is 25-16 with a +3.6 net rating at home this year, whereas the Trail Blazers have been scuffling on the road. They're 18-23 with a net rating of -4 in away contests.
Phoenix should be able to pull away in the end.
π₯ Best Trail Blazers vs. Suns player prop bet
Our NBA playoff series odds break down all confirmed first-round matchups.
Devin Booker Over 26.5 points (-105)
Booker doesn't spend much time on the bench in a playoff setting. He's averaging 40 minutes in 47 career playoff games.
If Booker (33.5 minutes per game this year) gets that kind of bump tonight, I love his chances of soaring past this scoring line. He comes into this matchup in great form, averaging 29.6 points across his past 19 outings dating back to March 5. He's cleared this scoring prop 13 times over that span.
Booker is the best player in this game. I expect him to lead the way, and so does Liam Fox in his Trail Blazers vs. Suns player props.
ποΈ Most-bet NBA player props tonight
Here's Corey Scott's analysis of the most-bet NBA player props tonight (h/t BetMGM):
| Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks | Suns | Under 17.5 points | -105 |
| LaMelo Ball | Hornets | Over 7.5 assists | -155 |
| Kel'el Ware | Heat | Under 14.5 points + rebounds + assists | -150 |
| Devin Booker | Suns | Over 26.5 points | -115 |
| Andrew Wiggins | Heat | Under 14.5 points | -110 |
Dillon Brooks Under 17.5 points (-105) is a solid bet, as he has scored 15 or fewer points in six of his last seven games. Even though that bet is now -115 at BetMGM, itβs still the best widely available number, so Iβm not against playing it with the extra juice.
My favorite bet on this list is Booker Over 26.5 points (-115), and I also back him to score 27+ in my NBA player props tonight.
- Corey Scott
π Trail Blazers vs. Suns same-game parlay
I've opted for a two-leg Trail Blazers vs. Suns parlay, focusing on Booker's scoring line and the Suns' spread. This is related to my handicap in this game, as I expect the best player to lead Phoenix to victory.
💵 Trail Blazers vs. Suns SGP picks
- Suns -3.5
- Devin Booker Over 26.5 points
Best odds: +210 via bet36 (0.1u -> 0.21u)
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-11 | -1.82 units β | -16% β |
| Player props | 4-7 | -1.65 units β | -15.2% β |
| Parlays | 1-4 | -0.17 units β | -34.4% β |
π‘ How I'm betting Trail Blazers vs. Suns: NBA Play-In Tournament strategy
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
As the postseason begins, itβs crucial to account for the shift in rotations. Star players typically get more minutes as coaches shorten the bench. That makes projecting changes in playing time a key part of any handicap, and itβs the main reason Iβm backing Booker, who owns the highest scoring line in this matchup.
Itβs also worth digging into recent game logs with a critical eye. A teamβs strong form can sometimes be misleading if it came against opponents resting key players. That seems to be the case with Portlandβs late-season run, which is why I'm eyeing added value in siding with Phoenix at home.
π Live Trail Blazers vs. Suns odds: NBA Play-In Tournament
The Suns opened as 4.5-point favorites at FanDuel, with a game total of 218.5. Both markets have dropped a full point by Monday afternoon.
Phoenix is the better squad. It wouldn't surprise me if there is some push-back on the spread before tipoff.
π Trail Blazers vs. Suns betting trends
| Trail Blazers | Statistic | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| 42-40 | Record | 45-37 |
| 44-38 | ATS record | 47-35 |
| 42-40 | O/U record | 36-46 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 113.1 | Offensive rating | 114.2 |
| 113.5 | Defensive rating | 112.9 |
| -0.4 | Net rating | +1.4 |
π Trail Blazers vs. Suns injuries
πΊ How to watch Trail Blazers vs. Suns: NBA Play-In Tournament
- Date: Tuesday, April 14
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix)
- Streaming: Prime Video
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