🏀 Magic vs. Pistons Player Props Tonight: NBA Playoffs Picks & Best Bets for Game 2
📡 SBR Edge: Pistons Prevent Postseason Paolo
My Magic vs. Pistons player props for Game 2 tonight feature Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 three-pointers made (+104). He has gone over this line in three of his four meetings with Orlando this season. My second NBA best bet is Paolo Banchero Under 20.5 points (+100), as he will likely struggle against the best defense in the East, which should be extra motivated after losing Game 1.
π Best Magic vs. Pistons player props: NBA Playoffs Game 2
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds for the playoffs.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 three-pointers made | +104 via DraftKings | 0.96u -> 1u | Has gone Over in 3 of 4 games vs. ORL this season |
| Paolo Banchero Under 20.5 points | +100 via Caesars | 0.5u -> 0.5u | Averaging 17.1 points over last 7 road games |
Total wagered: 1.46 units | Max profit: 1.5 units
π° Best Magic vs. Pistons prop bet
The Pistons have the seventh-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 three-pointers made (+104)
Robinson paced Detroit with 7 three-point attempts per game in the regular season, connecting at 41% from deep.
More importantly, he has drained three or more 3-pointers in three of his four matchups against Orlando this season. The Pistons shot just 31% from three in Game 1, and I expect a correction across the board tonight.
Robinson Over 2.5 three-pointers made is +104 at DraftKings, but I would be comfortable playing this up to -110 on the best sports betting sites. I also feature this bet in my NBA player props tonight.
Duncan Robinson player prop trends
Hereβs a look at how Duncan Robinson has performed recently, as well as against Orlando:
| Bet | Best odds | Last 5 games | Last 5 vs. ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 points | -130 via BetMGM | 3-2 β | 2-3 β |
| Over 2.5 rebounds | +122 via FanDuel | 1-4 β | 3-2 β |
| Over 1.5 assists | -160 via BetMGM | 4-1 β | 5-0 β |
| Over 2.5 three-pointers made | +104 via DraftKings | 4-1 β | 4-1 β |
Robinson has a median of three 3-pointers over his last five games against the Magic.
π₯ More Magic vs. Pistons prop picks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Paolo Banchero Under 20.5 points (+100)
The Pistons rank 1st in the East in defensive efficiency and will be extra motivated after losing home-court advantage in this series. The player they are likely to game-plan for is Banchero, who scored a team-high 23 points in Game 1.
Banchero has also been inconsistent in away games lately, averaging just 17.1 points over his last seven road outings. This combination creates a strong case for Banchero to underachieve tonight. His Under 20.5 points is +100 at Caesars, but I would play this up to -110 on the best sports betting apps.
ποΈ Most-bet NBA player props tonight
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren | Thunder | Under 16.5 points | -110 |
| Tobias Harris | Pistons | Over 15.5 points | -110 |
| Dillon Brooks | Suns | Over 17.5 points | -105 |
| Kevin Huerter | Pistons | Over 9.5 points + rebounds + assists | -125 |
| Devin Booker | Suns | Under 4.5 rebounds | -120 |
π Magic vs. Pistons same-game parlay
The Pistons are elite defensively, making it reasonable to expect the Magic to go under their team total, which is 104.5. However, weβll play the full-game Under as a derivative to get a better price. Parlaying Cade Cunninghamβs and Robinsonβs Overs on 3-pointers adds a nice boost to this +1100 ticket, since those legs are negatively correlated with the Under.
💵 Magic vs. Pistons SGP picks
- Under 218.5
- Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 three-pointers made
- Cade Cunningham Over 2.5 three-pointers made
Best odds: +1100 via bet365 (0.23u -> 2.5u)
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 131-156-4 | -18.04 units β | -5.9% β |
| Player props | 117-112-4 | -16.51 units β | -5.9% β |
| Parlays | 10-39 | -0.64 units β | -4.1% β |
| Spreads | 2-3 | -0.8 units β | -13.1% β |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units β | -4.1% β |
My betting record in the NBA postseason
Tracked since April 14.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-30 | -1.01 units β | -2.5% β |
| Player props | 18-13 | +3.02 units β | 10.5% β |
| Parlays | 2-12 | -1.64 units β | -38.4% β |
| Spreads | 1-3 | -2.3 units β | -52.5% β |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units β | -4.1% β |
π‘ How I'm betting Magic vs. Pistons: NBA Playoffs Game 2 strategy
The zig-zag strategy for betting the NBA playoffs involves betting on the team that lost Game 1 to cover the spread (aka exceed expectations) in Game 2. While the zig-zag strategy is no longer profitable when playing spreads, I still use it for player props and have had success doing so, though you have to choose your spots since player props have a higher hold than sides and totals. That's why I'm targeting Pistons Overs and Magic Unders in Game 2.
🚨 Pistons' Playoff Home Losing Streak
The Pistons are 0-11 straight up in their last 11 home playoff games - the longest home losing skid in NBA playoff history. However, I believe thatβs just noise, as Pistons home games from a decade ago have no impact on todayβs matchup. The Pistons are an 8.5-point betting favorite.
π Magic vs. Pistons injuries: Game 2
Injury report last updated at 5 p.m. ET.
Magic
- Jonathan Isaac (knee) - out
Pistons
- None
πΊ How to watch Magic vs. Pistons: East first round - Game 2
The Magic lead the series 1-0.
- Date: Wednesday, April 22
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Little Caesars Arena (Detroit)
- TV: ESPN
- Spread: Pistons -8.5
- Total: 218.5
- Moneyline: Magic +320 | Pistons -375
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