⚽ Sunderland vs. Tottenham Prediction: Today's Premier League Picks, Odds & Lineups

Sunderland tries to snap home skid against a Tottenham side teetering on the edge of disaster.
Tottenham's Cristian Romero is shown a card as we make our best Sunderland vs. Tottenham prediction
Pictured: Tottenham's Cristian Romero is shown a card as we make our best Sunderland vs. Tottenham prediction. Photo by REUTERS/Dylan Martinez
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It's no doubt been a couple of tough days for Tottenham supporters as their team sits in the relegation zone, teetering on disaster and fighting for Premier League survival. Today's visit to face Sunderland at the Stadium of Light doesn't present an easy challenge. The action gets underway at 9 a.m. ET, airing on USA Network.

My Sunderland vs. Tottenham prediction breaks down the pivotal match, with Sunderland the +160 betting favorite.  My Premier League best bets also dig into how the Hotspur look in Roberto De Zerbi's first game as manager, and include a flutter on Richarlison scoring for the visitors.


⚽ Sunderland vs. Tottenham predictions

See our experts' soccer picks based on the latest Premier League odds.

Predictions Best odds Bet size Confidence 
Draw +220 via bet365 1 units -> 2.2 units ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Under 2.5 -125 via bet365 0.5 units -> 0.4 units ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Cristian Romero yellow card +180 via DraftKings 1 units -> 1.8 units ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Richarlison anytime goal-scorer +200 via FanDuel 0.5 units -> 1.1 units ⭐⭐⭐

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💰 Sunderland vs. Tottenham best bet

Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.

Draw (+220)

Kicking Tottenham while they're down has been popular this season. That's been especially true during a dismal run in which Spurs have gone over 100 days since recording their last Premier League win.

But we're backing Tottenham to benefit from the "new manager bounce" with Roberto De Zerbi now in charge and earn a hard-fought point on the road in hostile territory.

Before beating rivals Newcastle, Sunderland showed signs of vulnerability, which we expect to continue against a Spurs team that's desperate to steer away from relegation.

Score prediction: Sunderland 1, Tottenham 1


🔥 Best Sunderland vs. Tottenham prop bet

Cristian Romero yellow card (+180)

Tottenham's desperation to avoid another loss could lead to some reckless challenges from Cristian Romero and see the Argentina international pick up a yellow card.

His aggressive approach will be put to the test trying to stop Sunderland's quick transitions and an attacking core with a reputation for being physical. 

Considering that he has 10 yellow cards on the season, Romero will have a little more freedom without the threat of a suspension hanging over his head. He's already missed six games through card-related bans. He recently served a four-match red card suspension, which saw Spurs lose every match in his absence.

🟨 Claude's Cards

We've asked the popular AI chatbot, Claude, to break down the game and provide one player from each team that could find their way into the referee's book today. Keep in mind, these picks are solely for entertainment. 

  • Granit Xhaka (Sunderland) -> The midfield enforcer will be tasked with disrupting Tottenham's attempts to play out in De Zebri's new system.
  • Cristian Romero (Tottenham) -> I actually gave this as a half-unit play above! Claude agrees.

🙌 Best Sunderland vs. Tottenham goal-scorer prediction

Richarlison, Tottenham (+200) 

We're going out on a limb here by backing a Tottenham player to score away from home amid a downright brutal season for the north London club.

Like the rest of Tottenham's attack this season, Richarlison has been criticized for inconsistency in front of goal. But a recent surge, scoring twice in four games, could give the Brazilian the confidence to take on more chances against Sunderland.

Richarlison is also no stranger to battling in the trenches to avoid relegation. Spurs will hope for a late season boost to save them similarly to how Richarlison helped Everton avoid the drop in 2022 when he scored six times in the last 10 games.

A big performance from Richarlison could be just the spark that Spurs need to break out of their slump.


🚀 Sunderland vs. Tottenham same-game parlay

This has all the makings of being a cagey, low-scoring affair. The bets below offer some decent value, as the Draw pick and Under 2.5 total goals correlate for what's expected to be a tight game. The value here lies in Richarlison finding the back of the net.

💵 Sunderland vs. Tottenham SGP picks

  • Draw (+220)
  • Under 2.5 (-125)
  • Richarlison anytime goal-scorer (+200)

Best odds: +2000 via bet365 (0.5 units-> 10 units)


⚖️ How I'm handicapping Sunderland vs. Tottenham

Sunderland have been solid in their return to the Premier League. The Black Cats were pushing for a place in the top half of the Premier League table after a promising start.

However, we're not confident that Sunderland will be able to get the job done against a Tottenham team that will be inspired to perform well for the new manager.

Sunderland vs. Tottenham key stats

Sunderland Tottenham
Goals for 32 40
Goals against 36 50
Shots on target  102 118
XG 30.3 32.56

📊 Sunderland vs. Tottenham odds

The market hasn't reacted as positively about Roberto De Zerbi's arrival as one might assume. Bettors seem to be wary of a new manager implementing new tactics for a team that's already gone through two coaches this season. Tottenham's injury crisis in goal also hasn't helped, as top-choice goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario is out of action with a hernia injury.


🆚 Sunderland vs. Tottenham projected lineups

Here are Sunday's projected lineups for Sunderland vs. Tottenham; lineups subject to change:

Sunderland Tottenham
Roefs Kinsky
Alderete Porro
Geertruida Romero
Mukiele Van de Ven
Hume Spence
Xhaka Palilhna
Sadiki Gray
Diarra Simons
O'Nien Kolo-Muani
Brobbey Tel
Talbi Richarlison

📈 Sunderland vs. Tottenham betting trends

Host Statistic Visitor
11-10-10 (11th place) Season record 7-9-15 (17th place)
38-32-50 H2H record 50-32-38
L-D-W-L-W Last 5 games L-L-L-D-L
Won 2-1 vs. Newcastle Previous result Lost 3-0 vs. Nottingham Forest
Sunderland haven't lost both Premier League meetings with Tottenham since 2008-09. Key stat Tottenham are unbeaten against Sunderland in their last 15 Premier League games.

It's unclear if new coach Roberto De Zerbi has had adequate time to address Tottenham's defensive issues.

But Sunderland's recent vulnerability at home offers some hope that Spurs could possibly win a Premier League game for the first time since December.

However, considering that Sunderland doesn't have to deal with the pressure of going down, the Black Cats will have the freedom to take chances that relegation-threatened teams normally avoid.


🌤️ Sunderland vs. Tottenham weather

The weather is expected to be windy with a mix of sun and clouds for Sunday's contest at the Stadium of Light. There's a low chance of rain, while the temperature is expected to sit in the low 40s. These will be ideal conditions for both teams to employ their respective tactical schemes.


📺 How to watch Sunderland vs. Tottenham

  • Date: Sunday, April 12
  • Kickoff: 9 a.m. ET
  • Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland, England)
  • TV: USA Network

❓ Sunderland vs. Tottenham FAQ

Who is favored to win Sunderland vs. Tottenham ?

Sunderland are a +160 betting favorite against Tottenham on Sunday.

Who is the best Sunderland vs. Tottenham bet?

The best bets for Sunderland vs. Tottenham include Cristian Romero yellow card (+180) and Richarlison to score (+200).

Where to watch Sunderland vs. Tottenham in the US and Canada?

You can watch Sunderland vs. Tottenham on USA Network in the United States, or stream the game on FuboTV in Canada.