🏀 NBA Player Props Tonight: NBA Playoffs Best Bets & Picks for Monday, April 20
📡 SBR Edge: Edwards Struggles in Denver Again
My NBA player props tonight feature James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-133). He has attempted eight or more 3-pointers in three of his last four meetings with the Raptors. My next NBA best bet is CJ McCollum Over 18.5 points (-106), as he has attempted 19 or more field goals in each of his last two games against the Knicks. I wrap up with Anthony Edwards Under 26.5 points (-105). He has gone under this number in three of his four meetings with the Nuggets this season.
π Best NBA player props tonight: April 20
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made | -133 via DraftKings | 1.33u -> 1u | Has 8+ 3PA in 3 of his last 4 games vs. TOR |
| CJ McCollum Over 18.5 points | -106 via DraftKings | 1.06u -> 1u | Has 19+ FGA in each of his last 2 games vs. NY |
| Anthony Edwards Under 26.5 points | -105 via BetMGM | 1.05u -> 1u | Has gone Under in 3 of his 4 games vs. DEN |
Total wagered: 3.44 units | Max profit: 3 units
π° Best NBA player prop bet tonight
The Cavaliers have the fifth-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-133) vs. Raptors
I placed this bet on Saturday, and it was one of the least stressful player props Iβve watched play out, as Harden already had three triples by halftime.
The key here is that Harden has no trouble getting good looks from three against the Raptors, as he has attempted 8+ three-pointers in three of their last four head-to-head meetings.
DraftKings lists Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers at -133, but this bet is good up to -160 on the best sports betting sites. Meanwhile, our Liam Fox backs Harden to record eight or more assists with his Raptors vs. Cavaliers player props.
π₯ More NBA player prop picks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
CJ McCollum Over 18.5 points (-106) at Knicks
The Hawks are a young team, and it looks like theyβre relying on McCollum to lead the offense against a veteran-heavy Knicks squad.
McCollum was the second-best player on a Trail Blazers team that went to the conference finals, and Hawks coach Quin Snyder is trusting McCollumβs experience, as the Hawks guard led Atlanta with 20 field-goal attempts in Game 1.
McCollum Over 18.5 points is -106 at DraftKings, but I would play this up to -125 on the best NBA betting sites. I also feature this bet in my Hawks vs. Knicks player props.
Anthony Edwards Under 26.5 points (-105) at Nuggets
Edwards (injury maintenance) isnβt at full health, as he was questionable entering Game 1.
While he was healthy enough to play, he scored just 22 points on 7-of-19 (36.8%) shooting from the floor. Over a larger sample, he has scored 26 or fewer points in three of his four meetings with the Nuggets this season.
Another concern for Edwards is that the Nuggetsβ defense has historically improved in the postseason, so we should expect more low-scoring performances moving forward. BetMGM lists his Under 26.5 points at -105, but I'd play this up to -125 on the best sports betting apps.
π Anthony Edwards player prop trends
Hereβs a look at how Anthony Edwards has performed recently, as well as against the Nuggets:
| Bet | Best odds | Last 5 games | Last 5 vs. Nuggets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 26.5 points | -116 via DraftKings | 0-5 β | 2-3 β |
| Over 4.5 rebounds | -162 via FanDuel | 2-3 β | 4-1 β |
| Over 4.5 assists | -136 via FanDuel | 2-3 β | 4-1 β |
| Over 2.5 three-pointers made | -148 via Pinnacle | 1-4 β | 3-2 β |
Edwards has scored 22 points or fewer in five straight games overall. His median points per game against the Nuggets this season is 24.
ποΈ Most-bet NBA player props tonight
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns | Knicks | Over 20.5 points | -125 |
| Jakob Poeltl | Raptors | Under 8.5 points | -140 |
| Aaron Gordon | Nuggets | Over 21.5 points + rebounds | -150 |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cavaliers | Over 27.5 points | -115 |
| Jaden McDaniels | Timberwolves | Over 17.5 points + assists | -140 |
π Best NBA parlay picks tonight
The best-case scenario for Harden to make a lot of 3-pointers is for the Raptors to keep this game close so he can play more minutes at the end. While Bet365 priced "Raptors +9" and "Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made" properly, I believe the combination below offers too high a payout. Bet365 lists this two-legger at +550, while FanDuel offers the same parlay at +454.
💵 Best NBA parlay bet tonight
- Raptors +9
- James Harden 4+ three-pointers made
Best odds: +550 via bet365 (0.18u -> 1u)
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 124-148-4 | -19.91 units β | -6.7% β |
| Player props | 111-108-4 | -18.56 units β | -6.8% β |
| Parlays | 9-35 | -0.46 units β | -3.3% β |
| Spreads | 2-3 | -0.8 units β | -13.1% β |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units β | -4.1% β |
π‘ How I'm betting NBA player props tonight
I risked 1.33 units on Harden's 3-point prop because I like the bet directionally, but it's not mispriced enough to warrant a larger wager. If I thought I had a bigger edge, I would be willing to risk up to 2.5 units per bet - or 5 units in a once-in-a-year scenario. I treat 1 unit as 1% of my bankroll, which I have set aside solely for sports betting.
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